Monday, May 11, 2015

How are the dates of the four seasons worked out?

The Seasons
One finds disagreement on the starting dates of the seasons at both the scientific and the lay level. There are however three basic ways in which starting dates may be assigned. South Africa does not really experience four distinct seasons. Throughout South Africa the transitional seasons of Autumn and Spring tend to be very short. Most analysis of climate is done using the assumption that January is mid-summer and July min-winter.
Astronomical basis
The instances at which the solstices and equinoxes occur can be accurately calculated. Earlier astronomical textbooks often defined the four seasons as starting on the dates of the corresponding equinoxes and solstices. But more recent books avoid defining the seasons in any way: two new editions of earlier books have in fact deleted their previous definitions. Moreover, expressions such as spring equinox and summer solstice are no longer used in astronomy. Instead, the four astronomical instances are identified as the ascending and descending equinoxes in March and September respectively, and the northern and southern solstices in June and December. One reason for these changes is to avoid the inevitable confusion of northern and southern hemisphere seasons: the ascending equinox in March is the spring equinox in the northern hemisphere, but the autumnal equinox in the southern hemisphere.
Thus the earlier astronomical definitions of the starting dates of the seasons are no longer relevant, and their use should be discouraged.
Climatological basis
A further failing of the earlier astronomically defined seasons is that they simply did not describe the real seasons as actually experienced. As one of the contributors to this article expressed it, summer does not start four days before Christmas. A climatologically definition of the seasons would obviously be more realistic. In the temperate latitudes of Europe and North America the climatological seasons are conventionally defined as shown in Table I. The equivalent seasons in the southern hemisphere are of course six months out of phase with those in the northern hemisphere, and are also given in Table I.
The use of intervals of exactly three calendar months for the conventional temperate latitude seasons is a matter of convenience rather than climatological reality. For example, in England the latter part of November is wintry rather than autumnal, with cold, foggy days occurring fairly frequently. Elsewhere in the world the disparity becomes even worse. Climatologists therefore ignore the conventional seasonal nomenclature and use labels which are more appropriate to the climate of a particular region: for example hot season, cold season, post-rainy season, etc. The durations of these seasons depend on the climate of the region, and have no direct relationship to either the astronomical seasons or the calendar months. Thus September is spring-like in Gauteng, with cool mornings and warm afternoons, whereas it is still winter-like in the Western Cape, with the possibility of snow on the Eastern Cape mountains. Unfortunately the lay public would find it too confusing if a different set of seasonal dates was adopted for different parts of the country in order to encompass this variability.
Phenological basis
Phenological phenomena (this is, those relating to the natural seasonal behaviour of plants and animals) are the most fundamental markers of the changing seasons. This can be seen from the etymology of the names of the seasons in various languages. Thus in English, spring, from Anglo-Saxon for rise or burst forth, is the season when sap rises and plants put out buds. Autumn, from early Latin for ripen, is the season when crops reach maturity and can be harvested.
Unfortunately, an appeal to the phonological seasons merely confounds the confusion. In parts of Europe the phonological seasons are taken to occur one month earlier than the conventional climatic season, where in other parts and in the USA the two systems coincide. In any case, May Day (1st May) rather than the first day of spring however that may be chosen seems to be the preferred date for celebrating this season in Europe.
In South Africa, the wide range of climatic regions and phenotypes (compare coastal KwaZulu-Natal with the south-western Cape) also adds to the difficulty of defining a clear-cut seasonal calendar based on phenology.
Conclusion
Apart from rejecting the astronomically-based seasons in compliance with modern astronomical usage, there are no firm grounds for choosing one set of dates rather than another for the starting dates of the seasons. There is certainly no official designation of the starting dates. On broad climatological and sociological grounds, however, choosing the dates in Table I would have the advantage of conformity established conventions.
On the basis of these conclusions, the following recommendations are suggested:
Adopt the seasonal calendar given in Table I for the southern hemisphere.
Emphasize strongly that these are conventional or traditional dates, and that an official calendar does not exist.
seasons

Australian weather and seasons – a variety of climates

Australia is a continent that experiences a variety of climates due to its size. The temperature can range from below zero in the Snowy Mountains in southern Australia to extreme heat in the Kimberley region in the north-west of the continent.
map of major climatic zonesBureau of Meteorology, major climatic zones
Due to the size of the continent, there is not one single seasonal calendar for the entire continent. Instead there are six climatic zones and this translates as two main seasonal patterns.
There is a Summer / Autumn / Winter / Spring pattern in the Temperate zone, also affecting the Desert and the Grassland climatic zones and, a Wet / Dry pattern in the tropical north which includes the Equatorial, Tropical and sub-tropical zones.
Depending upon where you are each Month, the season will vary on whether the weather is defined by the Temperate zone seasons or the tropical seasons.

Climatic zones

The temperate zone: a Summer / Autumn / Winter / Spring pattern

The Temperate zone occupies the coastal hinterland of New South Wales, much of Victoria, Tasmania, the south-eastern corner of South Australia and the south-west of Western Australia. The seasons in the temperate zone are described in terms of European seasons applied to the southern hemisphere in the following sequence:
  • Summer: December to February
  • Autumn: March to May
  • Winter: June to August
  • Spring: September to November
This means that the Australian Christmas takes place at the height of summer. It also means that the mid-year break for students happens in winter. The long end of year break for students is commonly known as the 'summer holidays', or the 'Christmas holidays'.
The two other zones affected by the temperate seasons are:
  • Grasslands (or savanna) – essentially a belt surrounding the arid and semi-arid desert areas in the centre and seeping into the area north of Alice Springs in the Northern Territory
  • Desert – arid and semiarid areas of the centre of the continent, stretching across the vast amount of South Australia and Western Australia, far south western Queensland and far north western corner of New South Wales, and not quite half of the Northern Territory

The tropical zones: a Wet / Dry pattern

There are three climatic zones in the tropical areas of Australia:
  • Equatorial – the tip of Cape York and Bathurst and Melville Islands north of Darwin
  • Tropical – across northern Australia including Cape York, the Top End of the Northern Territory, land south of the Gulf of Carpentaria, and the Kimberley region
  • Sub-tropical – the coastal and inland fringe from Cairns along the Queensland coast and hinterland to the northern areas of New South Wales and the coastal fringe north of Perth to Geraldton in Western Australia.
approaching storm in distanceApproaching cyclonic storm east of the Serpentine Lakes, Great Victoria Desert, on the border of South Australia and Western Australia. Image courtesy of CSIRO Land and Water.

The wet and dry seasons

The tropical regions of Australia, in the north of the country, including the equatorial and sub-tropical zones have high temperatures and high humidity and distinct wet and dry seasons.
In the Australian tropics the wet season, called the monsoon season, lasts about six months, between November and March. It is hotter than the dry season, with temperatures between 30 and 50 degrees Celsius. This is because of the high humidity during the wet, which is caused by large amounts of water in the air. During the wet there is a lot of rain, which frequently causes flooding.
The dry season lasts about six months, usually between April and October. Temperatures are lower and the skies are generally clearer during the dry. The average temperature is around 20 degrees Celsius
The 'build up' is the humid time of year between the wet and dry seasons. It usually lasts for three or four months. Things become quite tense during the 'build up' as people sit and swelter in the humidity while waiting and hoping for the first rains to come. The humidity continues day and night with no respite, so when the rains finally do come everyone enjoys their cooling relief.

Temperature

In the southern capital cities: Sydney, Canberra, Melbourne, Hobart, Adelaide and Perth, defined by the temperate zone, the average temperatures are: Summer minimum 16 and Summer maximum 26 and Winter minimum 6 and Winter maximum 14, all in degrees Celsius.
In the sub-tropic and tropical cities the average minimum temperatures are: Brisbane 16 and Darwin 23 with the average maximums: Brisbane 25 and Darwin 32. In the inland city of Alice Springs, surrounded by desert and grassland, the average minimum is 20 and the average maximum is 32.

Summer heat waves and sea temperature

Since the 1950s, Australian temperatures have, on average, risen by about 1°C with an increase in the frequency of heat waves and a decrease in the numbers of frosts and cold days, except in the regions immediately to the west and north-west of Sydney. Since 1900, the sea temperatures are showing to be two degrees warmer.

Indigenous seasonal calendars

Mataranka poolMataranka tropical pool, Northern Territory
Indigenous people's knowledge about the weather, and their descriptions of the seasons and climatic conditions is recognised today in work with scientists and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM).

For the Jawoyn people, from around Katherine near south east Arnhem Land in the Northern Territory, six seasons are described in the tropical zone in which they live:
  • January–February: Summer (temperate zone), Wet (tropical zone), Jiorrk, the wet season
  • March: Autumn (temperate zone), Wet(tropical zone) Bungarung, the end of the rains
  • April–May: Autumn (temperate zone), Dry (tropical zone) Jungalk, the hot start of the dry
  • June–July–August: Winter(temperate zone), Dry (tropical zone), Malaparr, the cooler, dry
  • September–October: Spring (temperate zone), Dry (tropical zone), Worrwopmi, the humid time
  • November–December: Spring/Summer (temperate zone), Wet (tropical zone), Wakaringding, the first rains
These descriptions can be useful as they are more detailed and therefore more informative about what the weather is like to experience.

Extreme weather

Cyclones, snow and floods

The tropics are affected by the extremes of cyclones in the wet season and the inland deserts can remain totally dry for years whilst rains can produce floods. The wettest months in the southern capitals are from May to July.
Along the Great Dividing Range, the mountain range that passes through New South Wales and Victoria, there are regular winter snowfalls. The snow season in the Alps in south-eastern Australia is June to September.
The tradition of observational practice and high quality records have contributed to a vast amount of data now held and shared by the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM). Based on over 200 years of data, the Bureau has observed that Australia's climate is changing, and observes the following trends:
  • Since 1900, there have been many disastrous floods, with 2011, the year of the Queensland, Brisbane and Victorian floods, recorded as the second wettest year on record
  • Overall, rainfall patterns have also changed – the northwest has seen an increase in rainfall over the last 50 years while much of eastern Australia and the far southwest have experienced a decline.
cyclone hits coastCyclone Yassi hits Townsville, 2011, Climate Commission

Cyclones

Cyclones are a tropical weather phenomenon. They are usually encountered in Australia between November and April, and they mostly take place in the north of the country. The Western Australian and Northern Territory coasts, as well as the Queensland coast, are the usual places that cyclones occur.
About six cyclones happen in Australia every year. By far the most famous cyclone in Australia is Cyclone Tracy, which hit Darwin in the Northern Territory on Christmas Eve 1974. Forty-nine people died as a result, and over 600 people were injured. Darwin had to be evacuated because over eighty per cent of the city was destroyed. But Tracy is not the worst cyclone to ever visit Australia. In 1899, Cyclone Mahina killed over 400 people when it destroyed an entire pearl-fishing fleet at Bathurst Bay in Queensland.

The dry regions the desert

bent treesTrees shaped by the weather along a track near Margaret River crossing, c1920. Image courtesy of National Library of Australia: an24431083.
The driest regions of Australia are found mostly in central Australia, in the arid and semi-arid desert regions with high daytime temperatures and low amounts of rain.
The dry desert regions of Australia are characterised by intense heat during the day and intense cold at night. Temperatures range from around 40 degrees celsius in the summer to between 16 and 24 degrees celsius in the winter. At night the temperature can vary from 19 degrees Celsius to zero degrees Celsius.

Drought

Desert conditions are different from drought. A drought is an unusually long period of time when there is not enough water for people to use in the way they normally would.
There have been many serious droughts in Australia in the last 200 years. The 1895–1903 drought lasted eight years and caused the death of half of Australia's sheep and forty per cent of its cattle. The 1963–68 drought caused a forty per cent reduction in wheat crops across Australia. In central Australia that same drought actually lasted eight years, from 1958 to 1967.

El Niño-Southern Oscillation index

The great Australian droughts of the twentieth century have mostly been closely linked with the major swings in the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) with drought in eastern Australia coinciding with the El Niño (warm central and eastern Pacific Ocean) phase of the El Niño-La Niña cycle

Seasons: Meteorological Versus AstronomicalSeasons: Meteorological Versus Astronomical

Seasons are periods in a year marked by specific weather conditions, temperatures and length of day. Most modern day calendars around the world divide the year in 4 seasons: spring, summer, fall (autumn) and winter.
Illustration image
The dates of when these seasons begin and end can vary depending on who you ask. People in Australia and New Zealand for example, consider September 1 as the beginning of spring. The Irish on the other hand believe that spring begins on February 1, when they celebrate St Brigid's Day. Some cultures, especially those in South Asia have calendars that divide the year in six seasons, instead of the four that most of us are familiar with.
Note: The following information applies only to the Northern Hemisphere. Seasons in the Southern Hemisphere are opposite to the seasons in the Northern Hemisphere.

Astronomical Seasons

Astronomers and scientists use the dates of equinoxes and solstices to mark the beginning and end of seasons in a year.
There are 4 astronomical seasons in a year:
Because the dates of the equinoxes and solstices can change, the length of astronomical seasons within a year and between years can vary, making it difficult to properly compare and study seasons in different years.

Meteorological Seasons

In order to be consistent and to make forecasting easier, meterologists divide the year into 4 meteorological seasons of 3 months each:
  • spring - starting March 1 and ending May 31,
  • summer - starting June 1 and ending August 31,
  • fall (autumn) - starting September 1 and ending November 30, and
  • winter - starting December 1 and ending February 28 (Februrary 29 in a Leap Year).

Summer in the North, Winter in the South

Seasons in the Southern Hemisphere are opposite to those in the Northern Hemisphere. For example, under the definition of astronomical seasons, the June Solstice marks the start of summer in the Northern Hemisphere but the start of winter in the Southern Hemisphere. The same rule applies for the other three seasons. Similarly, the meteorological seasons in the Southern Hemisphere are opposite to those in the Northern Hemisphere.

Earth's Rotational Axis

Equinox and solstice illustration
Astronomers use equinoxes and solstices to set the start and end dates of the seasons.
Seasons occur because of the 23.5 degree tilt of the Earth's rotational axis. Around the June Solstice, the Northern Hemisphere is titled towards the sun. This causes summer there. The Southern Hemisphere on the other hand, is tilted away from the sun and therefore, experiences winter. The opposite occurs around the December Solstice, when the Southern Hemisphere is tilted towards the sun, while the Northern Hemisphere is tilted away